In yesterday’s bets, I was an Anaheim Ducks empty net goal away from going perfect and winning $400. Watching that game and seeing them miss on two easy chances at it was tough, but my night games went better, allowing me and anyone who followed my advice to still win just under $100. Let’s check out my stats:

Betting Stats:

NBA: 4-5 (down $136)

NHL: 15-12 (up $554)

MLB: 3-6 (down $273)

NCAA Basketball: 1-0 (up $165)

Golf: 0-1 (down $25)

Parlay 1-2 (down $58)

Horse Racing: 0-2 (down $60)

Today, I’m heading to the world of football and putting together a two-play parlay:

Today’s Bet: NFL Championship Games Parlay

Kansa City Chiefs -7  (at home against Cincinnati Bengals)

San Francisco 49ers +3.5 (on the road against Los Angeles Rams)

Bet $100, win $250

REASONING:

Let’s start with the Chiefs beating the Bengals by more than a touchdown. The last two Championship games for the Chiefs, both played at home, were won by 11 and 14 points. Both games saw them play a team somewhat like the Bengals in that they were newer to the big game and weren’t quite ready for it. The Bengals are a great young team but it does feel like they’re a year away from being able to win a game this big. In their two playoff games, it’s been mainly the defense of the Bengals that has stepped up. It’s one thing to slow down the Raiders and Titans. The Chiefs are whole different animal.

Now, onto the 49ers. I think the odds makers had a hard time picking the road team as a favourite for a Championship game. The 49ers are rolling- they’ve gone on the road and beat the Rams, Cowboys and Packers over the last three weeks. They’ve won six straight against the Rams, including three straight on the road. They play with a physicality on both sides of the ball that’s hard to combat. I do think highly of McVay and wouldn’t be surprised if he found a way to win this game, but all I need to happen here is for the 49ers to stay within a field goal. That’s something they’ve done seven weeks in a row. With their pass rush on one side, Deebo on the other, and Shanahan leading the way, I think they should at the very least, cover.

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